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Monday, September 08, 2008
"McCain's Successful Convention"
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 7:42 AM
A guest post from Clark Judge

McCain’s Successful Convention: How so and Why
By Clark S. Judge
 
By last night (Sunday) it had become clear:  Despite almost exactly opposite reporting in the mainstream media, the Democrats two weeks ago had their second failed convention in a row.  It was the Republican convention that proved a huge success.  How so and why?
 
First the “how so.” Politicians live and die by polls. A convention succeeds if it produces a bounce, the bigger the better.  By Tuesday last week in the aftermath of his convention, Barack Obama’s lead over John McCain in the Real Clear Politics average of polls had opened up to the largest margin since late June, 6.4 percentage points. By last night, in the wake of the latest Rasmussen tracking poll showing a tie and the Gallup tracking poll showing McCain up by three points, the RCP average spread was 0.8 percent, the smallest margin since early June.
 
The bad news may soon become worse.  Thursday night word spread around St. Paul’s Xcel Energy Center that not only was a CBS poll showing the race tied (some dismissed the survey as a fluke), but a California poll had the race within nine points in the largest and most Democratic state in the nation.  Some began to wonder if, with a little more momentum, the Golden State might go into play.
Read More...




Monday, September 08, 2008
Chuck Todd on the Sarah Palin Effect
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 7:38 AM
You won't hear this on MSNBC's nightly programming.

CHUCK TODD: The Obama campaign is completely flat-footed. They don't know how to respond to Palin. This week they're going to put out some women surrogates. You'll see Hillary Clinton out there, probably some of the other senators who have been supportive of him, Claire mccaskill from Missouri. But look, they don't know how to deal with this. They continue to try to focus on Palin, and they've taken their eye off the McCain ball. And this is exactly what the McCain campaign wants. The less focus on McCain, the less focus on McCain/Bush, the better for the Republican ticket, and right now, Sarah Palin is drawing all the Democratic fire, and she's getting the Republican base enthused. It's so far been a win-win for McCain




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Mr. Griffin, MSNBC’s president, denies that it has an ideology. “I think ideology means we think one way, and we don’t.”
Posted by: Hugh Hewitt at 11:33 PM
Hilarious. 

Old Irish proverb: When everybody says you're drunk, you'd better sit down.

NBC needed to sit down a long time ago.  It didn't, and the brand built over decades has been broken beyond repair with a vast segment of the American audience.  They are the network of the left, making no attempt --as Fox does with Chris Wallace. Alan Colmes,  and many members of Hume's panels-- to feature voices quite obviously not of its overarching ideological beliefs.  Indeed, given the comment quoted here and others made over the years, the network seems genuinely not to know how far from the center of American politics it has drifted. 

Conservatives within talk radio are transparent as to their beliefs, but also quite well aware of their own biases and eager to have liberals and leftists on to discuss issues, though it is rare that top drawer liberals or leftists will engage in sustained debate on these programs.  (My eight hours with E. J. Dionne was a welcome exception.) The collapse of NBC's credibility will not be arrested by moving the name plates around.  You cannot fix what you don't know is broken.

UPDATE: Ed Driscoll notes that Phil Griffin was taking a different line last year:

Officials at MSNBC emphasize that they never set out to create a liberal version of Fox News.

"It happened naturally," Phil Griffin, a senior vice president of NBC News who is the executive in charge of MSNBC, said Friday, referring specifically to the channel's passion and point of view from 7 to 10 p.m.






Sunday, September 07, 2008
USA TODAY/Gallup McCain Leads By 10 Among Likely Voters
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 10:15 PM
It isn't over 'til it's over, but a new USA Today/Gallup poll shows McCain leading by ten points among likely voters.

Note that the poll was taken over the weekend -- not, traditionally, great for Republicans.

Update: Amanda's posted on this below.




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Someone finally pulled their head out of their...
Posted by: Jonathan Garthwaite at 9:57 PM
The headline this hour on the Drudge Report:

MSNBC drops Keith Olbermann and Chris Matthews from anchor chair... David Gregory will anchor news coverage of the coming debates and election night.... Developing...




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Wowza
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 9:43 PM
McCain is up 4 points over Obama among registered voters, a whopping 10 points among likely voters.

From USA Today:
WASHINGTON — The Republican National Convention has given John McCain and his party a significant boost, a USA TODAY/Gallup Poll taken over the weekend shows, as running mate Sarah Palin helps close an "enthusiasm gap" that has dogged the GOP all year.

McCain leads Democrat Barack Obama by 50%-46% among registered voters, the Republican's biggest advantage since January and a turnaround from the USA TODAY poll taken just before the convention opened in St. Paul. Then, he lagged by 7 percentage points....

In the new poll, taken Friday through Sunday, McCain leads Obama by 54%-44% among those seen as most likely to vote.






Sunday, September 07, 2008
Barack Claims He Wanted to Join the Military
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 8:04 PM
Somehow, he left it out of his two memoirs, but this morning, Barack told George Stephanopoulos that he really thought about joining the military, but chose not to because we weren't in a war at the time.

Sorry.  I don't believe it.  I've had some good things to say about the Barack Obama I knew. But no way, no how is this true.  Barack and the people who surrounded him were hardly the types to have any sympathy with or interest in the military.  They were the type who supported the ban on ROTC at Harvard and other Ivy League schools and were happily anti-military because of the military's ban on gays.

What's more, the presence or absence of military conflict is irrelevant to many of the people who join ROTC.  Many did so during peacetime as a way to pay for their educations -- like one of my roommates at Princeton.  If Barack had had any inclination to serve in the military in even a limited capacity, of course, this option might have helped defray some of the cost of those student loans that his wife keeps discussing.




Sunday, September 07, 2008
"Slow Joe" Pulls a "Pelosi" on Abortion
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 7:36 PM
This morning, among other topics, "Slow Joe" Biden talked abortion on "Meet the Press" (transcript here).  Here is part of the exchange:

SEN BIDEN:  I voted against telling everyone else in the country that they have to accept my religiously based view that [life begins at] a moment of conception. There is a debate in our church, as Cardinal Egan would acknowledge, that's existed. Back in "Summa Theologia," when Thomas Aquinas wrote "Summa Theologia," he said there was no--it didn't occur until quickening, 40 days after conception.  (emphasis added).

It's enough that Biden confessed in the same interview that he still wasn't up to speed with Governor Palin's views, a full 9 days after she was named to the ticket.  But, like Nancy Pelosi, it's apparent that Biden also is misrepresenting the existence and nature of any supposed "debate" in the Church over abortion.  Although some may have questioned when, precisely, life begins, that inquiry was never part of any larger "debate" over the morality of abortion itself.

For one thing, an Aquinas expert consulted in the wake of the Pelosi gaffe said that although Aquinas speculated about when life begins, "no way in life would Aquinas have accepted abortion."  And the US Conference of Catholic Bishops has spelled it out in recent days: "[M]istaken biological theories never changed the Church’s common conviction that abortion is gravely wrong at every stage. "

Second, wasn't Biden even listening to the statement of Cardinal Egan that Brokaw read in one of the questions to him?  Maybe this will clear it up for him:

We are blessed in the 21st century with crystal-clear photographs and action films of the living realities within their pregnant mothers. No one with the slightest measure of integrity or honor could fail to know what these marvelous beings manifestly, clearly, and obviously are, as they smile and wave into the world outside the womb.  . . . They are not parts of their mothers, and what they are depends not at all upon the opinions of theologians of any faith. Anyone who dares to defend that they may be legitimately killed because another human being “chooses” to do so or for any other equally ridiculous reason should not be providing leadership in a civilized democracy worthy of the name.

Now, what "debate" are you talking about, Senator Biden?






Sunday, September 07, 2008
Sleaze Alert
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 7:23 PM
At this hour, the Drudge Report has an item (no link) that reads as follows: "NYT PREPARES TO FRONT EXPOSE ON PALIN'S BABY... DEVELOPING..."
 
Who knows?  It could be a false lead.  Or . .  .

Is it even conceivable (no pun intended) that the "newspaper of record" would try to run an "expose" on a baby in order to harm his mother for political reasons?  Are they going to try to blame the Governor in some way for little Trig's Down syndrome?  What can there possibly be to "expose"?

The possibilities boggle the mind, and sadly, after what we've seen last week, there's not really much I'm prepared to rule out.  It would seem to me, however, that the Times is running the risk of creating the backlash of all time, in what seems like a transparent effort to offer aid and comfort to the Obama/Biden ticket.




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Obama Surrogates Smearing Palin
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 6:25 PM
Barack Obama has promised he wouldn't wage a smear campaign against Sarah Palin but a number of  his surrogates are sure getting their hands dirty. Too many to be a coincidence.

Take for example this CNN report in which Drew Griffin confirms members of the Obama campaign contacted Palin's former-brother-in-law Mike Wooten's union.
Hmmm...Why, might I ask, would political operatives be contacting Wooten's union? To squeeze the union to pressure Wooten to speak out against Palin, perhaps? Someone needs to ask Team Obama who exactly is involved and why they think it's okay to do this.

And while we're on Troopergate doesn't anyone else think it's a little "conflict of interesty" that Obama supporter Hollis French is leading the investigation against Palin?  You think any of our mainstream media friends might have a question about that one?

Secondly, when is Obama going to denounce, or at least distance himself for pity's sake, from the email written by his spokesman Mark Bubriski that called Palin a NAZI SYMPATHIZER? Or give his Finance Chair Howard Gutman the cursory slap on the wrist for calling Palin a bad mother?

The answer, I expect is never. (That is, unless the MSM finally stops wondering what on earth Bristol Palin is going to name her first child and starts asking Obama some real questions about the ruthless, no-holds-barred campaign he's running.)

If Obama really wanted to stay above the fray, he would have fired these people from his campaign. Since he didn't I can only assume his campaign does support these kind of attacks and that his operatives have no intention of running clean against Sarah.

I hope I'm wrong.






Sunday, September 07, 2008
Secret Weapon: Todd Palin
Posted by: Carol Platt Liebau at 5:16 PM
It's somewhat amusing to think that the Obama campaign might really believe that Hillary Clinton is going to help Barack win Pennsylvania, for two reasons.  First, since when was Hillary Clinton really the blue collar male voter's candidate of choice?  Could it be that they voted less for her than against her arugula-loving elitist primary opponent?  Second, if the Obama campaign really thinks Hillary is committed to seeing their man win -- well, let's just hope that they don't take that level of naivete into negotiations with Putin. 

What may be being overlooked a bit in all the Obama camps calculations is Todd Palin's appeal to blue-collar men.  I can see the voters both campaigns are after resonating more to a snow-mobiling union "regular guy" than to a presidential candidate who sees them as "bitter" -- or his running mate, whose working class roots have been somewhat softened around the edges by years of Senate bloviating.




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Obama's Sunday Morning Gaffe
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 5:01 PM
I have no reason to believe Barack Obama is anything other than a Christian -- as he professes.  To my knowledge, no credible person has argued that he is anything other than a Christian.  However, in the viral world of the new media age, this verbal gaffe is a step backwards for the candidate who has spent months trying to false debunk rumors (mostly spread via email) that he is, in fact, a Muslim ...




... At best, this causes confusion and forces Obama to expend more time and energy to set the record straight. At worse, some Obama opponents -- certainly not anyone credible -- will use it in an attempt to frighten some voters. Either way, by misspeaking, Obama may have opened the door back up on an issue he has desperately been trying to put to bed. At the very least, it will be talked about -- and Obama will have to answer more questions on the subject -- when he would rather discuss a topic that might actually help him win...





Sunday, September 07, 2008
Palin Bounce: McCain Up By 3 ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:49 PM
... according to the latest Gallup Tracking poll.  (A week ago, Obama had a six-point lead in this same poll)...





Sunday, September 07, 2008
Palin vs. Hillary
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 1:40 PM
Maureen Dowd looks ahead to 2012...




Sunday, September 07, 2008
Obama on Why He Never Joined the Military
Posted by: Amanda Carpenter at 1:30 PM
If Barack Obama was just honest about why he never joined the miltiary it would sound a lot better. This excuse he keeps putting up about not joining because he was never drafted is much worse than just saying "I wanted to be a lawyer."

About a week ago Obama said he never served in the military he wasn't subjected to the draft. “I didn't serve, as many people my age, because the Vietnam war was over by the time I was of draft age and we went to an all-volunteer Army" he's quoted saying by the AP on August 25.

Today on ABC News Obama says he didn't join because the US wasn't fighting a war when he graduated high school. He left off the part about not joining because he wasn't drafted, but it's basically the same message. "You know, I had to sign up for Selective Service when I graduated from high school" Obama said. "And I was growing up in Hawaii, and I have friends whose parents were in the military. There are a lot of Army, military bases there. And I actually always thought of the military as an enobling and, you know, honorable option.But keep in mind — I graduated in 1979. The Vietnam War had come to an end. We weren't engaged in an active military conflict at that point. And so, it's not an option that I ever decided to pursue."





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