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Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Thomas Sowell :: Townhall.com Columnist
Too "Complex"?
by Thomas Sowell
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Some people think that the reason the public misunderstands so many issues is that these issues are too "complex" for most voters. But is that really so?

With all the commotion in the media and in politics about the high price of gasoline, is there really some terribly complex explanation?

Is there anything complex about the fact that with two countries-- India and China-- having rapid economic growth, and with combined populations 8 times that of the United States, they are creating an increased demand for the world's oil supply?

The problem is not that supply and demand is such a complex explanation. The problem is that supply and demand is not an emotionally satisfying explanation. For that, you need melodrama, heroes and villains.

It is clear that many people prefer to blame President Bush. Others prefer to blame the oil companies, who have long been the favorite villains of the left.

Politicians understand that. Numerous times they have summoned the heads of oil companies before Congressional committees to be denounced on nationwide television for "greed," with the politicians calling for a federal investigation to "get to the bottom of this!"

Now that is emotionally satisfying, which is the whole point. By the time yet another federal investigation is completed-- and turns up nothing to substantiate the villainy that is supposed to be the reason for high gasoline prices-- most people's attention will have turned to something else.

Newspapers that carried the original inflammatory charges with banner headlines on page 1 will carry the story of the completed investigation that turned up nothing as a small item deep inside the paper.

This has happened at least a dozen times over the past few decades and it will probably happen again.

What about those "obscene" oil company profits we hear so much about?

An economist might ask, "Obscene compared to what?" Compared to the investments made? Compared to the new investments required to find, extract and process additional oil supplies?

Asking questions like these are among the many reasons why economists have never been very popular. They frustrate people's desires for emotionally satisfying explanations.

If corporate "greed" is the explanation for high gasoline prices, why are the government's taxes not an even bigger sign of "greed" on the part of politicians-- since taxes add more to the price of gasoline than oil company profits do? Continued...

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About The Author
Thomas Sowell is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institute and author of Basic Economics: A Citizen's Guide to the Economy.
 
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Subject: Wendy, you are wrong
Right now Obama is a front runner. He is likely to win the election. The truth is that there are a lot of people who simply don't educate themselves- or, if they do educate themselves, still vote in opposition to waht the facts tell them. They vote on emotion. Not common sense. That's part of Sowell's point. And he is dead on.

No
Mr. Sowell, you are a very bright man, so this column is a disappointment for me.

First, there is general price inflation going on, and that is not caused by supply and demand for oil. Our government is causing this. You as a Chicago Schooler should know this well.

Second, and just as importantly, I heartily disagree with your basic premise that Americans are basically insipid creatures who react solely out of emotion. True, liberals do, but not the average American. When things are explained in clear terms, people will listen and pick the rational course. Americans are still too good a people to do otherwise. You as an educated intellectual have a unique opportunity to explain what is going on in clear terms. People, and their politicans, will listen.
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